In this bulletin:
1. PACIFIC — ADB ready to mobilise support for Pacific countries impacted by the Middle East crisis
2. NIUE — Niue voters stick with experience as Tagelagi eyes top job again
3. SOL — Solomon Islands PM looks forward to face no confidence vote, following court ruling
4. PACIFIC — Protecting truth in a digital storm: PNG media summit puts AI under the spotlight
5. FIJI — FMA says Fiji’s press freedom gains still fragile
6. FIJI — Fiji marks Press Freedom day, Calls for responsible Media
7. PACIFIC — Warm waters and potential Super El Niño could ‘supercharge’ start to Eastern Pacific hurricane season
8. PACNEWS BIZ — Niue’s Fuel Shock: The government warns of 150 percent price surge
9. PACNEWS BIZ — Yasawa-i-Rara ranks among South Pacific’s best
10. PACNEWS DIGEST — Expanding frontiers: what happens if Beijing accelerates its Indo-Pacific push
11. PACNEWS DIGEST — Building Resilient Futures: Pacific Countries Advance Climate-Smart and Life Skills Education
PAC – IRAN CRISIS/FUEL PRICE: PACNEWS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
ADB ready to mobilise support for Pacific countries impacted by the Middle East crisis
By Makereta Komai, PACNEWS Editor in Samarkand, Uzbekistan
SAMARKAND, 04 MAY 2026 (PACNEWS) — The impact of the conflict in the Middle East is expected to dominate discussions this week at the Asian Development Bank’s Annual Meeting in the ancient southern Uzbekistan city of Samarkand.
ADB President, Masato Kanda told journalists Sunday that he’s received ‘so many requests’ for assistance and intervention from developing member countries, particularly from the Pacific.
“This morning (Sunday) I met with Pacific Developing Member Countries Governors who have raised their concerns with me, said President Kanda in response to PACNEWS.
“The impact on small island countries in the Pacific is particularly significant. For example, Tonga spends over 10 percent of GDP on fossil fuel imports.
“Our ADB’s most recent economic outlook was just recalculated last week, and it showed that it’s more serious than before – it estimates that the growth of the Pacific will decline from 4.2 percent last year to 2.8 percent in 2026 – slowing down by as much as 1.4 percent.
Recent bank estimates say growth of Pacific economics will decline to 2.8 percent in 2026 from 4.3 percent last year – slowing down by as much as 1.4 percent.
President Kanda said in a severe case scenario, growth will further reduce to 2 percent which almost half compared to last year.
The ADB is ready to deliver urgent help to Pacific Developing Member Countries (PMDCs), impacted by the war, resulting in fuel shortages.
“We have received requests for support from several Pacific countries already, and we are working quickly to deliver them. We are ready to support Pacific countries to build their resilience against external shocks through diversifying energy sources.
“For instance, in the Solomon Islands, the ADB is supporting a 50megawatt Tina River hydro power project. This project is expected to provide 70 percent of electricity for their capital, Honiara once completed in 2028.
“We are also strengthening power grid storage system in several countries. So, we have to turn this crisis into opportunities to make our countries more resilient than before, said President Kanda.
He told journalists the fall out of from the Middle East crisis has severely impacted the energy sector.
“It did not stop there, with higher prices quickly spilling into fuel, freight and fertiliser, said Kanda.
If the conflict between the U.S and Iran escalates, ‘the world will not only see a security crisis but a stress test of the global order.”
“It is a reminder that countries remain highly vulnerable to shocks originating in a few strategic corridors. It is exposing the cost of overreliance and accelerating the shift from pure efficiency toward resilience.
He’s assured the bank’s 69 member countries that “ADB remains a steadfast partner during these challenging times.”
Last month, the ADB announced a financial support package to developing member countries to manage their economic fall-out from the Middle East conflict.
Economies in Asia and the Pacific have been hit hard with higher energy prices, supply chain and trade disruptions, and tighter financial conditions. Tourism and remittances could also be impacted, according to the latest ADB brief.
It outlined three risk scenarios – indicating that effects on the region’s developing economies will depend largely on the duration of disruptions. Under a short-lived conflict, energy price pressures would ease relatively quickly. More prolonged disruptions would lead to larger and more persistent impacts on growth and inflation.
Earlier on Sunday, the bank unveiled a US$70 billion programme to expand energy and digital infrastructure across the Asia-Pacific region by 2035. This includes US$50 billion for the Pan-Asia Power Grid and US$20 billion for the Asia-Pacific Digital Highway.
Across developing Asia, demand for reliable and affordable electricity is growing faster. The Pan-Asia Power Grid will help countries connect their power systems, scale up cross-border electricity trade, and accelerate the integration of renewable energy.
The US$50 billion mobilised by 2035 will expand and modernise transmission networks and strengthen grid stability. ADB’s initiative aims to help integrate about 20 gigawatts of renewable energy across borders.
“We plan to connect about 22,000 circuit-kilometres of transmission lines. This will improve energy access for about 200 million people and reduce regional power sector emissions by about 15 percent. It will also help create 840,000 jobs, said Kanda.
The theme of this year’s Annual Governors meeting is “Crossroads of Progress: Advancing the Region’s Connected Future” …. PACNEWS
NIUE – ELECTION/POLITICS: PMN PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
Niue voters stick with experience as Tagelagi eyes top job again
ALOFI, 04 MAY 2026 (PMN)—The preliminary results from Saturday’s general election in Niue show that most of the “old guard” have held their ground.
Outgoing Prime Minister Dalton Tagelagi safely retained his Alofi South seat, securing 111 of 221 valid votes.
Several other ministers and village representatives were returned, many of them unopposed, including Tutuli Heka in Alofi North, Richie Mautama in Hakupu, Silepea Sione in Namukulu, and Talaititama Talaiti in Vaiea.
Other returning MPs include Ian Hipa in Hikutavake, Logopati Seumanu in Liku, Rhonda Tiakia in Lakepa, Florence Maureen Melekitama in Mutalau, and Dion Paki Taufitu in Toi.
There were some changes at the margins, with new representatives elected in Avatele and Tamakautoga, replacing incumbents from the previous term.
Six members were also elected on the common roll: Robert BJ Rex, Moira Enetama, Richmond Lisimoni-Togahai, Emani Fakaotimanava-Lui, Sonya Talagi and Kahealani Hekau.
Because Niue has no political parties, the next Prime Minister is not decided by the public, but by a secret vote among the 20 elected MPs.
Now that the results are in, the “numbers game” begins behind closed doors as alliances are formed to choose the island’s leader for the next three years.
For Tagelagi, who led the country through the Covid-19 period, the election was a final exam on how he handled the recovery.
“I’m not here to be happy about what I do… I leave that to the judgment of the people,” he said in a pre-election interview with the Broadcasting Corporation of Niue.
With tourism numbers now bouncing back and the economy showing signs of life, it seems the judgement of the people was to stay the course.
But the next government won’t have a honeymoon period; they are walking straight into a cost-of-living storm.
While names like Robert BJ Rex and Sonya Talagi dominated the Common Roll, the real “winner” of the campaign was the cost of living.
With petrol prices hitting NZ$3.80(US$2.73) per litre and a 150 percent price hike looming in June, the pressure on Niuean kitchens is at an all-time high.
Some critics say the campaign stayed too close to the surface and didn’t look far enough ahead.
Niuean commentator Dessyo Sione noted that more focus is needed on the future, especially for the youth.
“I don’t think discussions went deep enough to include ICT… we need to bring tech in to preserve our language,” Sione said.
Niue is a self-governing Pacific nation in free association with New Zealand, which provides budgetary support and handles defence and foreign affairs.
The vote follows the formal dissolution of Cabinet earlier last week and marks the end of the government’s three-year term.
About 1100 voters were registered, with polling across 14 stations from 9am to 6pm on Saturday.
While the majority of incumbents were returned, there were small shake-ups in the villages of Avatele and Tamakautoga where new representatives were elected to replace the previous members.
These new voices, alongside the six members elected on the Common Roll, will hold the balance of power when the Assembly meets to choose the Cabinet.
The final count is expected to be confirmed soon but for now, the “Rock of Polynesia” remains in familiar hands.
The question now is: who will those hands choose to lead them into an increasingly expensive future?…PACNEWS
SOL – POLITICS: INDEPTH SOLOMONS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
Solomon Islands PM looks forward to face no confidence vote, following court ruling
HONIARA, 04 MAY 2026 (INDEPTH SOLOMONS)—Prime Minister of Solomon Islands, Jeremiah Manele MP has officially committed to convening Parliament and facing a looming vote of no confidence following a decisive ruling by the country’s Court of Appeal on Friday.
This marks the conclusion of a weeks-long legal deadlock that has gripped the Pacific nation.
In a statement issued after the landmark ruling, Manele confirmed he would strictly comply with the court’s orders, which mandate that Parliament must sit no later than 07 May 2026.
“The Prime Minister looks forward to the Motion of No Confidence being debated on the floor of Parliament when it sits.
“He notes that the formal grounds for the motion will be presented in Parliament in accordance with parliamentary procedures, allowing for full debate and consideration,” the statement, issued by the Prime Minister’s Office said.
It added, the Prime Minister emphasises that Parliament provides the proper forum for such matters to be openly debated, so that the public is fully informed of the issues raised by both sides.
Meanwhile, PM Manele once again thanks the public for their understanding and patience during this period of political developments.
The Prime Minister also acknowledges the mover of the motion for going to court to seek legal clarification regarding the current political situation.
“The Prime Minister conveys his sincere appreciation to the people of Solomon Islands for their patience, understanding, and continued commitment to peace and calm over recent weeks during this period of political developments.
On Friday, Attorney-General John Muria Jnr’s legal challenge suffered a crushing defeat after the Court of Appeal threw out all 39 grounds of his appeal and ordered Prime Minister Jeremiah Manele to convene Parliament within days.
“I am disappointed,” Muria told reporters after the ruling was delivered before a packed courtroom.
“But the court has spoken,” he added.
Muria however, warned the Court of Appeal ruling has “cemented instability”.
“Anytime someone files a motion of no confidence, that’s when a prime minister will have to call Parliament,” he said.
“In Melanesian politics, it’s something that will create further instability. It’s like stepping back in time again.
“We’ve already moved forward, but again the court has spoken.”
Muria said he would first assess the judgment before advising the prime minister on the next steps.
He said he had noted a number of inconsistencies in the ruling.
“Although the Court of Appeal says the Chief Justice should not have set a date, it went on to set a date,” Muria said.
Lawyer for the New Coalition, Gabriel Suri, said the decision was a huge relief.
“This is a complex constitutional case and we appreciate the decision of the Court of Appeal,” Suri said.
He added that since the court had given the prime minister seven days to convene Parliament, he expected him to comply with the order.
Key Rulings:
*The court dismissed the primary appeal but set aside specific parts of the earlier High Court ruling. It clarified that it cannot:
*Compel the Governor-General to act outside Section 31 of the Constitution.
*Direct the Speaker on how to conduct or prioritise parliamentary business.
*Prescribe a fixed timetable that conflicts with constitutional or procedural frameworks.
* The court declared that failing to convene Parliament is inconsistent with the Constitution and statutory requirements when:
*A motion of no confidence has been validly lodged under Section 34(2) of the Constitution.
*The required notice period has expired.
*Statutory obligations requiring parliamentary action have matured.
While the Constitution does not require Parliament to be sitting at all times, the court ruled it must not be rendered ineffective. Mechanisms for testing parliamentary confidence and ensuring statutory scrutiny must remain functional. The court found these conditions were triggered in this case.
The Prime Minister is ordered to take all lawful steps to convene the National Parliament:
*Action deadline: No later than 12:00 noon, Tuesday 05 May 2026.
* Sitting deadline: Parliament must sit on or before Thursday 07 May 2026.
“He also acknowledges and thanks the churches and all those who have offered prayers and support during this time,” the statement said….PACNEWS
PAC – MEDIA SUMMIT: ISLANDS BUSINESS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
Protecting truth in a digital storm: PNG media summit puts AI under the spotlight
PORT MORESBY, 04 MAY 2026 (ISLANDS BUSINESS) —Journalists, editors, and media leaders gathered in Port Moresby for the PNG Media Summit, placing the region’s biggest media challenges under the spotlight.
Artificial intelligence, misinformation, election integrity, and the future of journalism in the social media age were placed under the spotlight at the event convened by the Media Council of Papua New Guinea and PNG Women in Media.
And, as technology evolves faster than regulation, the responsibility of journalism to protect truth has never been greater.
Kalafi Moala, President of the Pacific Islands News Association (PINA), reinforced the importance of regional solidarity, independent media, and protecting press freedom across the Pacific.
“To move forward, we must defend press freedom as a cornerstone of democracy, protect journalists, especially those working in high risk environments, promote media and digital literacy, harness AI responsibility guided by ethics and public interest as we approach world press freedom day,” Moala said.
“Through unity, we must protect our journalists, uphold truth in the age of AI, and ensure that innovation strengthens rather than silences the voices of our people.”
With Papua New Guinea preparing for national elections, mirroring a wider election cycle across parts of the Pacific, the conversation turned sharply toward factchecking, deepfakes, and disinformation.
Media Council of PNG President, Neville Choi, stresses that election reporting in the AI era demands stronger newsroom systems and sharper verification skills.
“In preparation for the elections, and to ensure the mainstream media is ready for them, we in the media have prioritised focus on factchecking and verification, investigative reporting, and building the capacities of our mainstream media newsrooms in understanding AI,” Choi said.
Under the summit theme, Press Freedom through Human Rights, Security and Innovation, one issue dominated discussions: what artificial intelligence means for the future of Pacific journalism.
Steven Matainaho, Secretary of the Papua New Guinea Department of Information and Communications Technology, unpacked the country’s National AI Framework and its implications for media, public discourse, and freedom of expression.
Matainaho highlighted that technology alone cannot solve the deeper issues society faces.
“It is not the end game, it is the enabler to solve the problem that we are trying to solve,” he said.
Using digital public infrastructure such as digital payments as an example, he pointed to how technology can improve efficiency but warned that data governance and responsible AI use must remain central to the conversation.
Also addressing journalists at the summit was Lisa Kingsberry, Director for Strategic Communication, Outreach and Engagement, at the Pacific Community (SPC), who reminded journalists of the role regional institutions play in supporting access to information and accountability.
“We are your organisation, owned and function for the Pacific by Pacific, reach out for information and hold us accountable to it,” she said.
Throughout the day, the summit became more than just a discussion on technology. It became a reality check for the media industry on shrinking trust, the speed of false information, newsroom pressures, and the growing challenge of staying relevant without compromising integrity.
But amid the robust discussions, one message stood above the noise, journalism must return to its foundations.
In an age where algorithms reward speed and virality, truth still demands patience, verification, and human judgment.
AI may be a powerful tool, but it cannot replace the human instinct, accountability, and warmth that define journalism.
Because at a time when audiences need truth more than clout, the role of journalists has never mattered more….PACNEWS
FIJI – MEDIA FREEDON: PACNEWS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
FMA says Fiji’s press freedom gains still fragile
SUVA, 04 MAY 2026 (PACNEWS)—“Three years after the lifting of draconian media laws under which Fiji’s media industry operated, and even with significant improvements in the country’s media freedom rankings, the gains from the return of media freedom remain tenuous.”
That is the warning from the Fijian Media Association(FMA) as Fiji marked World Press Freedom Day 2026, saying the country’s sharp rise in global rankings is welcome but pressure on journalists and the wider media industry remains.
In a statement issued in Suva on 03 May, the FMA said it was encouraged by Fiji’s latest performance in the 2026 press freedom rankings published by Reporters Without Borders.
“This World Press Freedom Day, the Fijian Media Association is heartened by the country’s remarkable progress on the Reporters Without Borders (RSF) media freedom index for 2026. Fiji improved in ranking by 16 places, now standing at 24th globally, up from 40th last year and 84th in 2023.”
The association said the improvement comes at a time when global media freedom is under increasing strain.
“The global picture revealed by the RSF World Press Freedom Index shows over half of the world’s countries now fall into the ‘difficult’ or ‘very difficult’ categories for press freedom, the lowest in the 25 years since the index was first published.”
The FMA said Fiji’s rise in the rankings was not only the result of the work of journalists but also reflected public support for independent reporting.
“This achievement for Fiji should be attributed not only to the media workers continuing to uphold the values of independent journalism to keep communities informed, but to everybody in this country who recognise and defend the importance of a free media for a healthy democracy.”
But while acknowledging the progress, the association said major concerns remain.
“While it is a moment to be celebrated, we are acutely aware of the various threats to individual media workers and the wider industry that continue to overshadow media development in Fiji.”
It said recent developments have highlighted the continuing pressures faced by the media.
“In recent months, there have been several separate developments that have the potential to influence and shape how the media works and serves the community.”
One of the strongest concerns raised by the FMA was the summoning of journalists to testify in court cases.
“The summonsing of journalists to testify in court cases has been a particularly pointed moment, and its ramifications of this judicial action on the industry and the sources it depends on is something the FMA is acutely aware of.”
The association also highlighted the recent remarks by Fiji’s Minister for Information, Lynda Tabuya, over reporting on the broken-down lift at the Colonial War Memorial Hospital.
“More recently, the statement by the Minister for Information Lynda Tabuya in Parliament regarding what she referred to as ‘mal-information’ and ‘misinformation’ by the reporting on the broken-down lift at the Colonial War Memorial Hospital in Suva. This was followed by a public call for an end to ‘doorstop-style’ interviews by local media. Such a method of newsgathering is well-established in healthy democracies as a necessary part of holding officials accountable.”
The FMA said such incidents point to the kind of pressure the media continues to face.
“These developments signal the kinds of pressures the media continues to be subjected to.”
Beyond institutional and legal pressures, the association said journalists are also dealing with wider social problems that are affecting both their professional and personal lives.
“Apart from the systemic issues the media and the people who work in the industry continue to contend with, the growing problem of the hard-drugs crisis and its impacts are also being felt in professional and personal ways. This adds a layer of complexity that journalists need to navigate, while continuing to uphold the values and ethics the industry aspires to.”
Marking World Press Freedom Day, the FMA said it remains committed to defending journalists and press freedom in Fiji.
“As we commemorate World Press Freedom Day 2026, the Fijian Media Association reaffirms our commitment to advocating for press freedom and the protection of journalists’ rights in Fiji. We call on all stakeholders, including government officials and civil society, to work collaboratively to ensure a safe and supportive environment for media practitioners, allowing them to report without fear or favour.”
The association said the fight for media freedom remains critical not only for Fiji but globally.
“Let us continue to champion the cause of press freedom, not only in Fiji but around the world, recognising that a free press is essential to a healthy democracy.” …. PACNEWS
FIJI – MEDIA FREEDOM: PACNEWS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
Fiji marks Press Freedom day, Calls for responsible Media
SUVA, 04 MAY 2026 (PACNEWS)–As Fiji marks World Press Freedom Day, the Government recognises the vital role of a free and independent media in any healthy democracy.
That was the clear message from the Fiji Government as it marked World Press Freedom Day 2026, highlighting major reforms and a sharp rise in global rankings while also issuing a firm reminder to media organisations about responsibility and credibility.
Government said Fiji’s jump in global press freedom rankings—from 84th in 2023 to 24th today—was the result of deliberate policy decisions.
“Government welcomes the progress Fiji has made. Our rise in the global rankings from 84th in 2023 to 24th today is not by chance. It reflects deliberate decisions by Government to restore openness, rebuild trust, and strengthen access.”
Central to that progress, Government said, was the removal of restrictive media laws, including the Media Industry Development Authority(MIDA) framework.
“We removed restrictive media laws, including the Media Industry Development Authority framework, because we believed Fiji deserved a more open and confident media environment. We chose engagement over control, accessibility over distance, and transparency over restriction.”
The statement also highlighted financial support to media organisations through public service broadcasting grants, describing it as part of a broader push to maintain a diverse media sector.
“There is a valid policy position that such support should primarily go to our national broadcaster, the Fiji Broadcasting Corporation. However, it is this Government that has taken a broader approach because a strong democracy benefits from a diverse and functioning media landscape, whereas weakened media institutions cannot effectively serve the public, as alluded to by the President of the Pacific Island News Association President Kalafi Moala.”
Government said the occasion was both a celebration and a time for reflection, acknowledging regional concerns raised by the Pacific Islands News Association (PINA).
“We acknowledge President Kalafi Moala’s words that ‘there can be no lasting peace without truth, and no truth without a free and independent media.’ That is a principle Government fully supports.”
It also backed calls for stronger collaboration between governments and media across the Pacific.
“At the same time, his call for partnership between government and media is one we strongly endorse. That is the approach we are committed to here in Fiji.”
But alongside the recognition of progress, Government issued a direct warning about the dangers of poor journalism and misinformation.
“Government reminds the media that with press freedom comes responsibility. A free media must also be a fair media. A strong media must also be a balanced media. And a trusted media must always be a responsible media.”
“Incomplete reporting has no place in a democracy. Nor does reporting that amplifies misinformation, fuels division, or erodes public trust. In a time where misinformation, disinformation and malformation spread rapidly especially across digital platforms, the role of responsible journalism has never been more critical.”
“The power to inform must never become the power to misinform. And as PINA rightly stated, credibility is your greatest asset. Without it, the very freedoms we defend are weakened.”
Government also acknowledged concerns raised by the Fijian Media Association, including pressures faced by journalists and the impact of legal processes.
“Government acknowledges the concerns raised by the Fijian Media Association regarding pressures on journalists, including legal processes and evolving media practices. These are important issues, and we remain committed to constructive dialogue.”
It stressed that relations between Government and the media should be built on cooperation, not conflict.
“The relationship between Government and the media must not be defined by tension, but by mutual respect and a shared commitment to serving the public. Because ultimately, we serve the same people.”
In a direct message to journalists, Government underscored their role in shaping the nation.
“To our media practitioners: your role is essential. You are not just observers, you are participants in nation building. And with that role comes the responsibility to report with accuracy, balance, and respect.”
And to the public, it reinforced the value of press freedom as a pillar of accountability.
“To our people: a free media is your safeguard. It is how you participate. It is how accountability is ensured. And it is how trust is built.”
The statement reaffirmed commitment and called for higher standards across the industry.
“So today, Government reaffirms its commitment to media freedom. But we also call for responsible freedom, freedom exercised with integrity, balance, and professionalism. Because a peaceful and united Fiji depends on it.”….PACNEWS
PAC – WEATHER WATCH: FOX NEWS PACNEWS 1: Mon 04 May 2026
Warm waters and potential Super El Niño could ‘supercharge’ start to Eastern Pacific hurricane season
HONOLULU, 04 MAY 2026 (FOX NEWS) — The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA’s) Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) has highlighted an area off the southern coast of Mexico for potential tropical development, with a little more than two weeks before the start of hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific.
This comes with the El Niño climate pattern forecast to develop sometime this summer, which is expected to increase the number of named storms in the basin.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) has highlighted an area off the southern coast of Mexico for potential tropical development, with a little more than two weeks before the start of hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific.
This comes with the El Niño climate pattern forecast to develop sometime this summer, which is expected to increase the number of named storms in the basin.
The CPC said a tropical system could develop off the coast of Mexico between 13 May and 19 May.
According to the FOX Forecast Centre, sea surface temperatures are running slightly above average, with some localized regions reaching the upper 80s.
These conditions are already roughly 2 to 3 degrees above average and more than sufficient to support tropical development — typically tropical cyclones form over waters that are above 80 degrees.
While this timing isn’t unusual — the first named storm generally forms in the Eastern Pacific around June 10 — the combination of waters already above average and a developing El Niño suggests that this could be the start of a supercharged hurricane season in the basin.
In fact, warm water temperatures in the Pacific greatly enhanced Super Typhoon Sinlaku earlier this month. Sinlaku slammed into the U.S territory of the Northern Mariana Islands in the Western Pacific with wind speeds approaching 200 mph.
According to the FOX Forecast Centre, while El Niño generally suppresses tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin, the warmer sea surface temperatures provide more fuel for tropical storms and hurricanes to develop in the Pacific.
In addition, El Niño also generally encourages warm air to rise rapidly in the Eastern Pacific, which creates the clouds and thunderstorms necessary to seed a hurricane or other tropical cyclone.
On average, the Eastern Pacific basin sees 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes (Category 3+). Those averages were significantly higher during El Niño years, which produced: 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes.
El Niño is one of three phases of a climate cycle called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It describes natural temperature changes in the central Pacific Ocean that alter atmospheric circulation and can greatly influence global weather.
El Niño describes warmer than average water across the equatorial Pacific, while La Niña describes colder than average water conditions, and ENSO neutral refers to a state where temperatures are close to average.
The Forecast Centre noted that while the exact timing of when El Niño develops is important, even moderate El Niño years have above-average tropical activity.
In fact, experts believe this El Niño could significantly outpace the average event. Computer models from both NOAA and Columbia’s International Research Institute (IRI) suggest a super El Niño may be on the horizon — which could serve to further supercharge storm activity across the Eastern Pacific.
Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins on 15 May and runs through 30 November…. PACNEWS
PACNEWS BIZ
NIUE – IRAN CRISIS/FUEL PRICE: PMN PACNEWS BIZ: Mon 04 May 2026
Niue’s Fuel Shock: The government warns of 150 percent price surge
ALOFI, 04 MAY 2026 (PMN)—The Government of Niue has confirmed a “staged approach” to fuel price hikes as the Pacific Island nation prepares for a potential 150 percent jump in costs by June.
The announcement came ahead of voters heading to the polls on Saturday, 02 May, for the 2026 General Election.
A statement released on 30 April revealed that while prices have been held steady for six months, the government can no longer afford to “absorb” the rising global costs of shipping and oil.
To avoid a single, massive price shock, the increases are being rolled out in stages.
But the forecast for the coming months remains a major concern for local families:
*April: 30 percent increase
*May: 50 percent increase
*June: Potential 150 percent increase
Despite the alarming figures, the government is reassuring the public that there is no need for panic buying.
Supplies are currently sufficient and there is no rationing at the pumps, it said.
“Holding prices unchanged for an extended period is no longer financially sustainable and poses risks to fuel supply security,” the government statement said.
To protect the island’s most important infrastructure, fuel for essential services including power, water, health, and aviation is being prioritised to ensure they continue to operate without disruption.
While the government is tightening its own belt and managing its diesel usage strictly, the long-term hope lies in the new Renewable Energy Project at Hikufenoga, which is set to launch in July 2026.
Until then, the public is being asked to do their part by “using fuel wisely.”
This includes combining trips to reduce driving, carpooling, and conserving power at home.
“Using fuel wisely today helps keep Niue running tomorrow,” the government says.
With voting completed, the immediate priority for Niue’s leaders will be managing these massive price adjustments while keeping the island’s economy stable through what is shaping up to be an expensive winter….PACNEWS
FIJI – TOURISM INDUSTRY: ISLANDS BUSINESS PACNEWS BIZ: Mon 04 May 2026
Yasawa-i-Rara ranks among South Pacific’s best
YASAWA, 04 MAY 2026 (ISLANDS BUSINESS) —Yasawa- i-rara has been described as one of the most outstanding destinations in the South Pacific by Seabourn Pursuit Expedition Leader Dom del Rosario, following the ship’s third visit to the island.
Del Rosario, who has worked in expedition cruising since 2009 and has spent more than a decade exploring the Pacific, said Fiji—and particularly Yasawa-i-Rara—consistently ranks among the most beautiful places the expedition team has visited.
He said the island has become a priority destination whenever the vessel returns to Fiji, citing its pristine beaches, natural beauty, and the warm welcome from local communities.
The expedition leader noted that Seabourn Pursuit first visited Fiji in 2024, stopping in the Lau Group before arriving in the Yasawa Group.
Strong guest feedback and detailed assessments from those early visits led to longer, more frequent stops, including repeated visits to Yasawa i Rara.
Del Rosario also highlighted the importance of updated hydrographic mapping in enabling safe access to remote islands.
He said accurate nautical charts were critical for modern expedition vessels, particularly when navigating smaller waterways and landing directly on isolated beaches. The improved mapping has helped ensure safe approaches, efficient logistics and reliable scheduling for island landings.
Del Rosario added that cultural experiences play a vital role in the Pacific voyage, explaining that while lagoons and white sandy beaches often define the region, the cultural identity of island communities adds depth and meaning to the journey.
According to del Rosario, the culture of the Yasawa Islands is “unique and pure,” making it an honour to share it with guests.
Tourists went ashore during the most recent visit, and many echoed the expedition leader’s praise.
Several visitors said landing directly on the beach and visiting a small, remote community offered an experience unlike traditional cruise tourism, which usually centres on large ports and urban destinations.
Travellers from major cities such as London and the United States described the visit as rare, authentic and deeply memorable.
Tourists praised the friendliness and hospitality of the villagers and said experiencing daily life in an isolated island community, including learning about local challenges, made the visit especially meaningful.
Many described Fiji as one of the best stops in the Pacific region and said the opportunity to visit places like Yasawa-i-Rara was a highlight of their journey.
Supported by improved maritime access, community preparedness and strong visitor interest, Yasawa-i-Rara continues to position itself as a key destination for expedition-style cruise tourism in Fiji….PACNEWS
PACNEWS DIGEST
The views expressed in PACNEWS are those of agencies contributing articles and do not necessarily those of PINA and/or PACNEWS
Expanding frontiers: how China’s outward push could cause friction
By Joe Keary, Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan, Linus Cohen
BEIJING, 04 MAY 2026 (THE STRATEGIST) —China’s expanding presence beyond the first island chain is most likely to generate incidents, friction and escalation risks not through deliberate aggression but through growing operational proximity.
As Chinese military, paramilitary and law-enforcement activity becomes more persistent across the Southwest Pacific, Australia’s maritime approaches and the Indian Ocean, regional countries will encounter Chinese forces more frequently. Over time, this will produce a denser and more contested operating environment in which the risks of incidents, coercion and miscalculation will grow.
These conclusions draw on ASPI war gaming conducted in March. Earlier analysis in this daily series of articles explored how the regional environment may evolve by 2031 and 2036 under current trends. The next article will examine how these dynamics could shift if Beijing accelerates its approach over the coming decade.
In the Southwest Pacific, friction is most likely to emerge through coast guard and maritime militia activity around fisheries and maritime zones. As Chinese presence shifts from episodic engagement to routine operations, Chinese vessels will increasingly operate alongside those of Pacific island countries and their traditional partners, such as Australian and New Zealand. These interactions will create points of tension, particularly where enforcement activity is perceived as coercive or linked to broader political pressure.
Pacific governments are unlikely to accept overt coercion, but their capacity to resist it will remain limited. Responses will therefore focus on reinforcing sovereignty while preserving strategic balance. Pacific island countries are likely to strengthen maritime domain awareness with the help of traditional partners and use regional institutions such as the Pacific Islands Forum to reinforce norms and constrain external security activity. At the same time, most of the island countries will seek to maintain non-aligned positions, including by allowing access and transit to multiple partners.
This balancing act will not always succeed. Diverging national approaches, ranging from deeper engagement with Beijing to closer alignment with traditional partners, will continue to complicate efforts at maintaining regional cohesion. The result will be a crowded operating environment in which Chinese ships, Pacific patrol boats and partner forces operate in close proximity. Even with restraint, the risk of incidents, whether about fishing rights or enforcement actions, will increase.
In Australia’s maritime approaches, friction will be sharper and more directly tied to intimidation tactics. Chinese naval task groups, intelligence vessels and survey ships are likely to operate more frequently to Australia’s north and west, bringing them into routine contact with the Australian Defence Force. These activities are often legally permissible but will be interpreted in Canberra as deliberate signalling.
The war game highlighted particular concern around undersea cables and energy supply chains. Survey operations near seabed infrastructure, interference with commercial shipping and more frequent live-fire exercises would expand Beijing’s grey-zone toolkit. These actions are inherently difficult to contest without risking escalation.
Australia’s response is likely to emphasise persistent presence and deeper coordination with partners. This includes shifting force posture northward, increasing naval readiness and investing in intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities. More frequent exercises with partners such as Japan, South Korea and the United States, alongside deeper engagement with Southeast Asian states, will reinforce this posture. Expanded access to facilities such as Manus Island will support sustained operations across the northern approaches.
These measures, however, will contribute to a denser and more contested operating environment. As both sides increase presence and readiness, interactions will become more frequent and more complex. Close manoeuvring, shadowing operations and competing surveillance activities will heighten the risk of incidents.
The Indian Ocean presents a third arena for friction. As China deepens partnerships with selected regional countries, expands its logistics network and develops a more persistent naval presence, interactions with India and other actors will intensify.
The war game results suggests that India, supported by partners such as Australia and the US, will respond by strengthening its presence and coordination with other countries in the region. This will include expanded efforts and monitoring activity on and below the sea surface, more-complex joint exercises and growing focus on undersea capabilities. There is likely to be increased emphasis on emerging technologies, such as uncrewed underwater systems to monitor activity in key sea lanes and chokepoints.
Friction in the Indian Ocean is likely to arise manly from proximity and perception. India and its partners will closely monitor Chinese naval deployments near critical chokepoints, increased submarine activity and expanding access arrangements to regional ports. Encounters between naval vessels and submarines operating in contested spaces carry inherent risks, particularly as both sides seek to demonstrate presence without triggering escalation.
Across all three regions, the pattern will be consistent. China will build presence incrementally and regional actors will respond through surveillance, partnerships and operational activity. The greatest danger lies in cumulative friction. Individual incidents may be manageable, but repeated interactions will increase the likelihood that one is misinterpreted or escalates beyond initial intent. This will be a particular issue when trust is limited and communication channels are underdeveloped.
Managing this risk will depend on clear signalling of intent, robust communication mechanisms and a shared interest in avoiding unintended escalation. Yet the very nature of grey-zone competition complicates these efforts. Ambiguity, which China uses to manage escalation, also increases the potential for misinterpretation by others.
As China’s presence beyond the first island chain continues to expand, friction will become an enduring feature of the Indo-Pacific security environment. The challenge for Australia and its partners will be to operate effectively in this environment while limiting the risks that come with it….PACNEWS
Joe Keary is a senior analyst, Raji Rajagopalan is a resident senior fellow and Linus Cohen is a researcher at ASPI.
PACNEWS DIGEST
The views expressed in PACNEWS are those of agencies contributing articles and do not necessarily those of PINA and/or PACNEWS
Expanding frontiers: what happens if Beijing accelerates its Indo-Pacific push
By Joe Keary, Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan and Linus Cohen
SYDNEY, 04 MAY 2026 (THE STRATEGIST)—Rather than gradually expanding its defence and security engagement across the Indo-Pacific, Beijing may choose to accelerate its trajectory, pushing boundaries to advance its interests and take advantage of a distracted United States. The result would be a rapid buildup of Chinese presence and a sharper, faster-moving cycle of pressure that tests regional cohesion and alliance resolve.
Earlier articles this week explored the likely effect of China’s defence and security engagement beyond the first island chain until 2031 and 2036. We’ve also looked at where friction and miscalculation could emerge. This final article examines a different future, one in which China picks up the pace in securing physical access and increasing its presence while actively testing the thresholds of regional states and alliances.
In the Southwest Pacific, a more assertive Beijing would pursue port access and logistics agreements more aggressively, including dual-use arrangements and hubs capable of sustaining persistent operations. A buildup of China Coast Guard and maritime militia activity would intensify pressure in fisheries and maritime zones, expanding Beijing’s access while testing sovereignty boundaries.
This would place Pacific island countries under significant strain. Their ability to balance economic engagement with sovereignty would be tested, and diverging responses would be likely. Some states, such as Solomon Islands, might deepen partnerships with Beijing, while others might seek to leverage heightened competition to extract greater benefits from external partners, risking regional fragmentation.
At the same time, many island countries would work to avoid such fractures. This might involve tighter management of external partners by the islands or a turn inward to preserve cohesion. Consolidating security cooperation through the Pacific Islands Forum, and consolidating engagement with traditional partners Australia and New Zealand, would help to reinforce regional norms and resist coercion. However, this could also constrain engagement with partners such as the US and Japan, reflecting difficult trade-offs to maintain unity.
In Australia’s maritime approaches, higher-tempo Chinese operations would bring capable naval flotillas, survey vessels and intelligence ships closer to critical infrastructure and shipping routes. These activities would probe Australian and allied response times while signalling China’s capacity to operate persistently in areas of strategic importance to Canberra.
Intensified live-fire exercises, seabed survey activity and grey-zone operations would place additional strain on Australian Defence Force readiness. To maintain credible deterrence, Australia would need to respond by strengthening its surveillance of the sea, its broader intelligence and surveillance capabilities and its northward deployment of forces. Greater emphasis on partnerships with middle powers and regional states would also be critical, particularly if US regional engagement fluctuated.
As activity increased on both sides, so would friction. China’s more assertive posture would test Australia’s domestic resilience, political resolve and alliance settings, while Canberra’s response, through expanded presence and exercises, would contribute to a more complex and crowded operating environment. Strategic messaging and domestic cohesion would be essential to managing escalation risks.
In the Indian Ocean, accelerated Chinese naval activity would focus on key sea lanes and chokepoints. Expansion of China’s base in Djibouti, alongside greater access to ports in Sri Lanka and Pakistan, would support a more persistent presence. This would increase operational proximity with India, Australia and other regional actors, likely driving deeper cooperation through intelligence sharing, joint exercises and undersea surveillance.
Encounters between submarines, surface vessels and surveillance aircraft in this environment carry inherent risks. Misinterpretation, close manoeuvring or signalling of resolve could escalate quickly, particularly around busy chokepoints. Efforts to maintain freedom of movement might generate a reinforcing cycle of action and response across vital maritime corridors.
Beyond expanding its presence, China would also seek to test allied responses. By varying the tempo and intensity of its activity, Beijing could assess thresholds, probe alliance cohesion and identify gaps in regional resilience. These actions might fall short of provoking conflict but would increase operational risk and the likelihood of miscalculation.
China’s most recent five-year plan reinforces this trajectory. Despite fiscal pressures, defence and security objectives remain a priority, suggesting that a larger and more persistent Chinese presence is likely.
For Australia and its partners, the security environment will continue to grow in complexity. If China continues to accelerate investment in its defence forces, deterrence will remain necessary but insufficient on its own. Partnership building, domestic resilience and sustained regional engagement will be critical to shaping outcomes. Persistent presence, intelligence sharing, joint exercises and operational interoperability will need to grow to manage risk and maintain influence in an increasingly contested environment.
If China continues to accelerate, regional states are more likely to hedge rather than fully align with either side, balancing economic opportunity against sovereignty and security concerns. This will complicate collective responses and reinforce the importance of flexible, inclusive regional approaches.
The challenge for Australia and its partners is not to prevent Chinese presence, but to shape the strategic environment in which that presence operates, managing risk, reinforcing partnerships and reducing the likelihood that intensifying competition tips into crisis. …PACNEWS
Joe Keary is a senior analyst, Raji Rajagopalan is a resident senior fellow and Linus Cohen is a researcher at ASPI.
PACNEWS DIGEST
The views expressed in PACNEWS are those of agencies contributing articles and do not necessarily those of PINA and/or PACNEWS
Building Resilient Futures: Pacific Countries Advance Climate-Smart and Life Skills Education
Representatives from across the Pacific convened in Fiji from 20 to 24 April 2026 for a UNESCO-organised regional consultation on life skills and climate-smart education, reinforcing efforts to strengthen education systems and equip learners to address climate change.
NADI, 04 MAY 2026 (UNESCO)—Organised under the Pacific Regional Education Framework (PacREF) and funded by the Global Partnership for Education (GPE), the consultation brought together policymakers, curriculum specialists, teacher educators and development partners from Pacific Island countries, including Fiji, the Federated States of Micronesia, Kiribati, Nauru, Niue, Palau, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.
The consultation aimed to advance the integration of the Pacific Employability, Transferable and All-Life Skills (PETALS) framework, alongside climate change and environmental education, into national education systems.
Opening the consultation, Fiji’s Minister for Education, Hon. Aseri Radrodro, underscored the urgency of transforming education systems in response to evolving global and regional challenges.
“The Pacific stands on the frontlines of climate change, and our young people require not only academic knowledge, but also the skills, values, and competencies to thrive in an uncertain world,” he stated, emphasising that investing in education is critical to strengthening national resilience and preparing future generations.
Sardar Umar Alam, Director of the UNESCO Regional Office for the Pacific States, emphasised UNESCO’s commitment to supporting countries in building resilient, inclusive and future-ready education systems. “By strengthening the integration of life skills and climate change education, we are equipping learners not only for employment, but for life in a rapidly changing world,” he noted.
Participants emphasised that regional collaboration remains central to advancing these priorities. As Josephine Dame, Director of Curriculum, Assessment, Statistics and Exams in Nauru, noted, “Collaboration among Pacific countries is essential, as we share common challenges and a collective goal in addressing climate change and strengthening climate-smart education.” Rosiana Lagi, a professor at the University of the South Pacific, added that “collaboration across the Pacific is critical to ensuring that the goals of PacREF are not only implemented, but translated into real impact—improving education quality and the lives of our people.”
Throughout the consultation, countries worked collaboratively to align national curricula with the PETALS framework while strengthening the integration of climate change and environmental education. Through curriculum mapping exercises and peer exchange, participants identified key gaps and opportunities to enhance the relevance, quality and resilience of their education systems. A central feature of the consultation was the application of curui, an Indigenous Fijian concept referring to renewal and strengthening, which guided countries to build on and improve existing curricula in ways that remain culturally grounded and contextually relevant.
These regional efforts are already translating into concrete national reforms across the Pacific. In Tonga, for example, Alisi Malafu, a lecturer at Tonga National University’s School of Education, shared that “this initiative is already influencing how we review our curriculum, particularly in primary education, where we aim to explicitly integrate climate change into our courses.”
Similarly, Colette Dadavana, First Assistant Secretary for Teacher Education in Papua New Guinea, explained that “rather than starting from scratch, we are focusing on reviewing and realigning existing curricula—identifying gaps and integrating climate change and the PETALS framework more effectively.”
Participants also underscored the urgency of integrating climate education into learning systems across the region. Frances Koya, Team Leader for Culture for Development at the Pacific Community, stressed that “climate change is an existential threat to Pacific communities, affecting our survival, livelihoods, and sustainable futures, and education must play a central role in preparing our young people to respond.” She added that “what we want to see in society must first be reflected in our schools, where young people develop the knowledge and skills they need for their future.”
By the conclusion of the consultation, participating countries had developed draft action plans outlining clear priorities and next steps to strengthen curriculum, pedagogy and assessment systems in line with PETALS and climate-smart education objectives.
Looking ahead, the outcomes of the consultation are expected to inform the next phase of regional education efforts. As Manaini Rokovunisei, Director of the PacREF Facilitating Unit, noted, “This week has been timely in shaping strategic discussions and ensuring that climate change, resilience, and essential life skills are central to strengthening our education systems, particularly as we move forward with the next phase of PacREF implementation towards 2030.”
Closing the consultation, Fiji’s Permanent Secretary for Education, Navin Raj, emphasised the importance of sustained action and regional collaboration. “The real success of this consultation will not be measured only by what was discussed here, but by what happens next—in stronger teaching practice and better learning opportunities,” he noted, adding that the outcomes of the consultation must translate into tangible improvements across education systems.
The consultation reaffirmed the shared commitment of Pacific Island countries to advancing inclusive, resilient and future-ready education systems. It contributes to ongoing regional efforts under PacREF and aligns with global priorities under Sustainable Development Goal 4 (SDG 4), as well as the 2050 Strategy for the Blue Pacific Continent. As countries move forward with implementation, these efforts are expected to strengthen regional cooperation and support national reforms, ensuring that education systems across the Pacific are better equipped to prepare learners not only for employment, but for life, community and a changing climate.
Building on this momentum, the consultation will serve as a critical foundation for the implementation of the Climate Smart Education Systems Initiative (CSESI), a programme funded by the Global Partnership for Education (GPE). Implemented through a partnership among UNESCO, the UNESCO International Institute for Educational Planning (UNESCO-IIEP), and Save the Children, CSESI aims to strengthen countries’ capacities to integrate climate change adaptation and environmental sustainability across education systems, including curricula, pedagogy and teacher training. By identifying gaps, strengthening alignment, and supporting the development of country-led action plans, the initiative provides a practical pathway for translating regional commitments into concrete national reforms. Together, these efforts mark an important step toward advancing climate-resilient and future-ready education systems across the Pacific….PACNEWS
For more information, please contact:
Varunesh Ashvindra Rao
Project Officer, UNESCO Regional Office for the Pacific States
Email: va.rao@unesco.org
