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Climate Change                                                                   Climate Change



        happy and I want the Australian public to know that. They will   Economy and survival
        find themselves isolated. He’s given no respect… At least for   In the lead up to COP3 – the December 1997 climate nego-
        once in a while, you must give us respect and come and pass a   tiations in Kyoto – the Australian government was in no doubt
        statement the way we like it.”                      that it was swimming against the tide of international opinion.
                                                              A September 1997 Cabinet minute to brief Prime Minister
         Opening the archives                               Howard before the Rarotonga Forum, entitled ‘Australian
         Fast forward to today. In January 2023, the National   policy towards the South Pacific’, noted that “we can expect
        Archives of Australia released Cabinet documents from the   pressure to accept that the Kyoto agreement include legally
        late 1990s, allowing researchers, historians and journalists to   binding targets for significant reductions in our emissions and
        better understand policy-making from that era. The treasure   strong criticism, including from green groups, of Australia’s
        trove of Cabinet submissions, minutes and memos from 1996-  approach.”
        2000 provides a sad and sorry picture that help explain John   Briefing Howard before the Forum, Australian officials
        Howard’s stance in Rarotonga.                       wrote: “Climate change will continue to be a difficult issue to
         The UNFCCC was adopted at the 1992 Rio Environment Sum-  handle. It is one where significant difficulties have developed
        mit, and three years later the first Conference of the Parties   over the past few years in the relationship between FICs and
        (COP1) was held in Berlin (it’s been a long process – this year,   Australia. They have criticised us for apparently putting our
        negotiators will gather again for COP28).           economic interests above the well-being and very existence of
         From the very beginning of the COP process, Australian of-  small island states.”
        ficials were well aware that Pacific Island countries were criti-  The 1997 Forum leaders meeting in Cook Islands came at a
        cal of their climate policy. A newly released Cabinet minute   crucial time. Before every major decision point in the UNFCCC
        from June 1996 states that “relationships with PICs suffered   process – Kyoto 1997, Copenhagen 2009, Paris 2015 – the Pa-
        considerable strain in the wake of the first Conference of the   cific Islands Forum has sought to forge a common position to
        Parties to the Climate Change Convention (COP1) in March-  carry into the global negotiations. Island leaders have repeat-
        April 1995. Pacific Island Countries (together with other   edly, and unsuccessfully, pressed Australia to join a consensus
        members of AOSIS) were highly critical of Australia’s stance   on urgent action.
        at COP1, with some of the PICs expressing a sense of betrayal   The Cabinet briefing for Forum 1997 shows that Canberra
        over Australia’s inability to endorse the draft AOSIS protocol.”  was fully aware of this dynamic: “With Kyoto so close and the
         In the lead up to COP2, the June 1996 Cabinet minute   positions of key participants so fluid, climate change will be
        reported that Australia should “actively pursue an outcome   an important issue at this year’s Forum. Pacific island lead-
        which would not involve Australia taking action which would   ers – encouraged by substantial environmental NGO pres-
        have net adverse economic impacts nationally.” Negotiators   ence – will want the Forum to send a strong message to Kyoto
        should seek an outcome that “does not contain targets which   outlining their concerns.”
        are legally binding… and does not specify mandatory interna-  The Cabinet minute outlines talking points for Prime Minis-
        tionally coordinated policies to limit greenhouse gas emission   ter Howard, proposing to argue that Australia is “working to-
        measures.”                                          wards a fair and equitable global solution which governments
         The Australian negotiating mandate also said that commit-  will genuinely implement.” Howard was urged to “acknowl-
        ments to developing countries should “not make a limitation   edge the FICs leadership role on issue to date and that we and
        of the commitments of developing countries contingent on   they have common purpose in the next big challenge, getting
        developed countries providing financial resources beyond   significant developing country emitters engaged.” However,
        those already committed under the Convention” – a preview   the submission argues that “the Forum should recognise its
        of recent Australian resistance to more financial commitments   necessarily limited role and focus on setting a more forward-
        to the Green Climate Fund or significant funding for loss and   looking vision for a fully global response.”
        damage.                                               The message from Canberra was clear: island negotiators
         The June 1996 Cabinet minute notes that “COP2 will be   should know their place. It’s clear that climate champions like
        a critical meeting because Australia can expect to be under   Enele Sopoaga, Anote Tong, Ralph Regenvanu, Tina Stege and
        pressure from the US, European Union, most developing   many others have since failed to recognise their “necessarily
        countries (including Pacific Island Countries) and environment   limited role.”
        groups to agree to develop legally binding targets and time-
        tables for developed countries to reduce GHG emissions.”  Binding commitments
         “Australia has argued that the uniform target approach is   During this period, the Howard government was pushing
        inequitable”, the minute explains, but “our position has at-  a “differentiation” strategy, arguing that individual country
        tracted little support.”  In response, officials proposed further   circumstances be recognised in any agreed emissions targets.
        delay, arguing that “Australia should work for an outcome that   At the time, Australia was the only OECD country that refused
        does not specify mandatory or internationally coordinated   to support binding emission reduction targets. In contrast,
        policies and measures, but provides for further analysis and   Pacific Island Countries were calling for legally binding tar-
        possible future negotiations.”                      gets – a policy backed by the United States, United Kingdom,
                                                            Germany and the Netherlands.

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