Page 8 - IB August 2024
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Whispers                                                                                                                                                             Whispers


          Trump, the Russians, and then     Australia’s nuclear submarine deal with   Pack for a tent?
         there’s China                      the Americans. The revelations have set   Pacific Islands Forum member
          Australia continues to tread cautiously   off significant chatter in NGO circles   countries with large tourism industries
         amid heightened security worries,   in the Pacific, upscaling the existing   have an advantage when they host the
         both in the Pacific and domestically.   worries of Pacific Island countries   annual Forum Leaders meeting – there
         Addressing a public policy think   about the build-up of militarisation in   are plenty of hotels and guest houses to
         tank, Pacific Minister Pat Conroy was   the region. Eyes are peeled to watch   accommodate the array of delegations,
         forthright when he urged China to avoid   for New Zealand’s movement on the   from 18 countries, 21 Forum Dialogue
         “coercion” in the Pacific Islands and   agreement.                   Partners, observer nations, multilateral
         to be “more transparent in the aid”                                  and UN agencies, the media, NGOs
         it provides. Conroy went as far as to   Education and geopolitics    etc. Recognising the limited housing,
         acknowledge a “state of permanent    It seems that the escalating    the Tongan government planned
         contest” between China and the West.   geopolitical machinations in the Pacific   construction of a new housing estate to
         Added to that tussle is the sleepless   are extending into the region’s tertiary   accommodate delegates – but as time
         nights and hectic days in Canberra (that   education sector. Heads of Melanesian   wore on, it was clear that construction
         spread to a few other key centres across   national universities met in Port Vila,   would be pushed down to the wire. For
         the Australian landscape) in recent times   mid-July. Behind the noble aspirations   latecomers who haven’t booked a room,
         over the Russian-led breach of security   is said to be a very distinct push from   you may want to pack a tent.
         in which a Russian-born Australian army   the Australians to support this grouping,
         private and her husband who arrived   as a way of building further influence   Signals
         in Australia about 10 years ago were   into the tertiary education sector in the   In what’s being seen as a huge signal
         accused of trying to steal military   Pacific. There are those who are silently   from the Fiji Government this month on
         secrets for Moscow. Coming as it did just   worried about how this will impact   pushing ahead with a review of the 2013
         around the attempt on Donald Trump’s   upon areas such as research – and   Constitution, the Fiji National University
         life, the Russian incident set off the   whether academics will then have to   hosted a senior Australian academic
         Aussies on a major hunt to figure out   be “predisposed” in a certain direction   to dissect the possibilities in what has
         how the breach happened. All in all,   because of the Australian money coming   so far been thought of as a virtually
         keeping an eye on the shadows in the   in. But then, who are they to have a say   impossible task. The fact that everyone
         Pacific, as well as keeping up the rear   when someone else is paying? Tertiary   from Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka
         guard on the home front makes for some   education has become big business, so   to a large part of his Cabinet were
         interesting fodder for discussion among   the implications are endlessly worrying   present at the presentation underlined
         those with a keen eye for these things   for those that really care.  its significance to the direction things
         in Canberra. While it’s said every once                              will take in the near future. While the
         in a while by some in Canberra that   Lobbying for a seat            possibility of finally being able to move
         the whole ‘China threat’ notion is more   There’s been some serious lobbying by   away from what’s always been seen as
         imaginary than real, those close to the   a major Pacific Island entity for a seat   a document imposed against the will
         circles where the action takes place   at the top table of the Pacific Islands   of the people is already the cause of
         weren’t exactly unperturbed in August.   Forum, to the extent that it’s gotten   optimism in Fiji, it may be too early to
         That double whammy was in very real   everyone talking and the big guns within   celebrate. Because it seems that the
         effect on the ground. And there’s no   the particular entity worrying about the   underlying problems of poor governance
         reason to expect any change in the   optics of it all – as well as the agenda   that’s very quickly become an acquired
         geopolitical scenario, any time soon. So,   behind it. It’s a big push and it does   hallmark of the Rabuka-led Coalition,
         expect to see more power games unfold   not make sense to those in the know,   is quite likely to continue unabated.
         in the Pacific.                    except that it’s been made rather   If the widely criticised pay rise for
                                            obvious that the person(s) at the top   parliamentarians and an expensive
          AUKUS flare up                    are looking to be treated on the same   party at the Grand Pacific Hotel for
          Meanwhile, there’s been a very    level as heads of state. There were   government members were disasters,
         public flare-up over revelations that   worries previously about where this is   then there could be some outcomes
         a new AUKUS Treaty allows for the   heading, which means this big drive has   coming up soon that could be on an
         actual transfer of nuclear material   folks in top regional circles seriously   even greater scale, from what we’re
         from the United States to Australia   concerned about how this might end up.   picking up.
         as opposed to the exchange of “naval
         nuclear propulsion information”, under






        8 Islands Business, August 2024
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